
Today I came across a Daily Kos Diary talking about Ryan’s Budget plans. One of the items jumped out at me: Cutting benefits to veterans. Shocking! Why, there will be a veritable stampede of Military Active Members and Veterans to the Democrats, right?
Wrong. Read the Diary if you want the full context. Below are two key excerpts, followed by my response explaining what is truly happening.
Excerpt:
Looking at the recently released GOP budget, written by Rep. Paul Ryan, it's hard to see how they do. In fact, looking at the nearly 100 page document, the word "veteran" doesn't appear once. Not once.
And:
But, without saying the word "veteran," the budget tells us a lot about what they think about veterans. The budget calls for across the board spending freezes and cuts. If enacted, the Ryan GOP budget would cut $11 billion from veterans spending, or 13 percent from what President Obama proposes in his own plan.
Now, my response in its entirety, which seeks to shed some light on what is going on:
Nixon Went To China:
It's simple, really: When it comes to certain constituencies, you need a certain party to "cut" or otherwise degrade benefits to that constituency.
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veterans It took Nixon to go to China. Had a Democrat attempted such, he would have been branded a "communist" sympathizer.
The GOP, under Bush, reduced benefits for service members... which resulted in a huge defection of "military" support for the GOP, right? Nope. Didn't happen.
Flip it around:
Bush, who started two wars, passed Patriot Act, enacted Tax Cuts for the Wealthy... couldn't significantly alter Social Security. The Dems wouldn't let him - because Social Security is solidly in the Dem Bailiwick.
So who was able to alter Social Security? Democrats. Using rhetoric from the GOP on taxes, the Dems - in the name of stimulus, led by Obama - gave a "tax cut" to American Workers. In the form of reduced Social Security payments... but made up the cut by... linking it to the General Fund.
Think about this: At some point, you will have someone claiming that we need to "cut" Social Security as it contributes to the Deficit. Anyone who even TRIES to say "well, let's just get rid of the tax cut and fund it like it was designed to be funded"... will be labelled someone who wants to Raise Taxes.
So, what to do, what to do?
One of two things:
Neat little trap, that. And not something the GOP would ever be allowed to do because.. Social Security is in the Dem's Bailiwick.
What do Veterans think of the parties? Even after Bush cut active members benefits?
Presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney leads a new poll this week showing veterans would pick him over President Barack Obama.
And, unlike the 2008 presidential election, when Sen. John McCain won 54 percent of the veteran vote, neither Obama nor Romney is earning an edge based off of experience (or lack thereof) in the military.
The Gallup poll shows 58 percent of veterans prefer Romney, compared to 34 percent who support the president.
Sure, there might be a percentage point or two to be gained by playing with the issue. But in the end, there won't be much movement because... Veterans / Military is in the GOP Bailiwick.
Let's pivot and look at another issue:
Congress could be poised to pass three long-delayed free trade agreements, which promise to create jobs and help boost the anemic economy. South Korea, Colombia and Panama all hammered out trade deals with the U.S. during President George Bush’s second term but none was able to make it through the political gauntlet on Capitol Hill.
What what? King George - who, let's face it, was able to ram through all sorts of evil things, wars, Patriot Act, Tax Cuts for 1%, School "Reform", Torture, Indefinite Detention.. couldn't even get some Free Trade (smaller than NAFTA) through that ol' Congress?
But wait - I thought the Dems were powerless to stop the GOP juggernaut? (Tax Cuts, Wars, Torture, Indefinite Detention, Supreme Court selections…etc..)
It's because Free Trade is a Democratic Issue. Not a GOP one. And the respective parties guard their constituencies and issues like a hen watching her chicks.
It took Nixon to go to China.
But that was a long time ago. That issue - Free Trade - no longer belongs to the GOP. It hasn't for a long time.
Military issues? Specifically benefits to service members? A democrat has to tread lightly. An (R), on the other hand, is just what's needed when you want to cut benefits... because it has been hammered into the military constituency's brain that GOP = Military Support.
One more pivot...
Education "Reform", Charter Schools, and attacking teachers via "Testing".
This one was really interesting... the GOP took the issue (which didn't belong to them), ran with it.. and the "Left" howled. No Child Left Behind was attacked, ridiculed, and portrayed as nothing more than policies which would lead to for-profit corporations getting their hands on tax payer dollars at the expense of students and teachers.
When a party is strong enough - if it has the political capital - it CAN actually - briefly - move into territory formerly occupied by the other party. That's what happened with NCLB. Or, over the long hall, a party may actually seize what was former territory of the other party (Free Trade Job Off-shoring, anyone?) NAFTA? Panama? South Korea? Columbia? Trans Pacific Partnership?
Fast Forward:
Democrats take control of Congress. A Dem President is elected. And appoints Arne Duncan as Education Secretary. NCLB is renamed "Race To The Top".
The outrage, previously aimed at NCLB, was all but silenced. Because "Education" is in the Dem bailiwick. And the Dems wanted the issue back. Rename it, tweak it a little.. and Bingo, it moves forward. You wouldn't want the GOP doing education reform, would you?
Best just to accept whatever excuses are offered up and move on. Things will get better in the future, won't they? Hang in there, kiddo, real reform is just around the corner.
To Wit: The Party which "holds" a certain Constituency is the party which can affect changes near & dear to that Constituency with the least amount of resistance, meaning there is a higher chance of success. The other party may attempt to score political points, but they will rarely be able to change the overall equation or affect perceptions & momentum on the issue / constituency.